Every UAE driver knows the monthly ritual: the Fuel Price Committee (FPC) announces new fuel rates. With the November 2025 rates being revealed on 31 October, many in the Emirates are waiting to see whether prices will go down, stay the same, or edge higher. After a rise in October, this month’s decision matters for your monthly budget at the pump.
Current Situation & What Happened in October
Here’s a quick look at how things stand:
- For October 2025, pump-prices in the UAE were: Super 98 at AED 2.77/litre, Special 95 at AED 2.66/litre, E-Plus 91 at AED 2.58/litre and diesel at AED 2.71/litre.
- These figures represent a small increase from September (e.g., Super 98 up from AED 2.70) meaning motorists already felt the impact of higher fuel costs.
- Historically, since deregulation in 2015, fuel prices in the UAE follow global oil market movements.
What Could Drive the November Rates?
Global crude oil trends
- The benchmark Brent crude oil has hovered around US$65/barrel in recent weeks, slightly lower than previous months.
- Earlier expectations of surplus supply were tempered by geopolitical risks (for instance, US sanctions on some oil producers) which have pushed oil prices upward.
Supply and geopolitical factors
- If global supply remains tight due to sanctions or shipping disruptions, there’s less room for price drops in the UAE.
- Conversely, if demand weakens or excess supply builds, the FPC could adjust downward slightly.
UAE domestic mechanism
- Because the committee adjusts monthly based on global benchmarks, what happens globally in late October will feed into the November announcement.
- UAE drivers are hoping for relief given the recent increase, but analysts warn that “fuel prices are unlikely to drop sharply in the immediate future”.
What to Expect: Rise, Fall or Stay Flat?
| Scenario | What it means for motorists |
|---|---|
| Small drop | If crude oil softens meaningfully and supply remains comfortable, pump-rates might be reduced by a few fils. This offers relief but not a major cut. |
| Flat/Moderate increase | If supply tightens or demand rises, rates could stay the same or increase slightly meaning no relief this month. |
| Significant rise | Less likely unless there is a major shock (e.g., large-scale supply disruption). Most analysts regard this as unlikely in the short term. |
My view: The most probable outcome is either a small drop or the rate staying roughly the same. A large cut is unlikely, given the recent increase and current market dynamics.
What It Means for UAE Motorists
- Budget planning: With current rates already higher than earlier in 2025, any increase will stretch fuel budgets further. A small drop would help but won’t bring back early-year levels.
- Transport & logistics: Businesses that rely on fuel costs will be watching this closely even small changes affect delivery and transportation expenses.
- Timing: The announcement comes 31 October, and new rates take effect from 1 November.
- Fuel grade choice: Since the difference between fuel grades (E-Plus 91, Special 95, Super 98) remains, drivers may choose lower grades to save money if rates go up.
Final Words
As a UAE driver, this November’s fuel price announcement is one to watch. With October’s increase still recent, your best hope is a modest relief but don’t count on a big drop. If you’re budgeting for fuel or managing a fleet, consider this possibility and plan accordingly.
